
gaz
09-17 02:23 PM
even criminals involved in illegal gambling are ahead of legals...
WTF?!
an amendment to respect religious freedom by King
and agreed to
Be happy Mr King..please be nice to Zoe and us now
WTF?!
an amendment to respect religious freedom by King
and agreed to
Be happy Mr King..please be nice to Zoe and us now
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johnwright03
07-30 11:51 AM
Wow...You seem to be a Guru in this field...!!! expert in the lingo too....
Dont even think about it unless you are a quant and have resources that can compete with the Hedge funds. Commodities do not behave like stocks, you need to be able to model prices using multi variate models. Then there is jumps. You should be familiar with jump diffusion/step functions etc. To be able to model these you will need to use a factor model like the Pilipovic model. Even then it will only be an approximation.
Commodities are purchased as futures. Futures are derivatives and you will need to hedge them. A perfect hedge for a future is 1:1 in the spot. Since there is no arb here you will have to use options. To model the price of an option you will have to be a master of Black-Scholes option pricing model or a similar method like monte carlo simulation. Even if you figure all this out you will have to delta hedge. Delta hedging commodity options is very expensive, you will bleed money. Look up Hodges-Nuberger model for delta hedging options on derivatives.
I suggest a book by Daragana Pilipovic called "Energy Risk", buy it and read it. After that if you still feel you can take on hundreds of computers running parallel with teams of quants modelling prices and programs trading algarithimic models; then Good luck!!
Trade stocks as modelling stocks is comparitively easy. Stocks have drift (mu). If you are saturated with stocks look into options and Fixed income. Leave all these complicated stuff to the pros. You have better chance of hitting a jackpot in a casino than making money in trading commodities.
Dont even think about it unless you are a quant and have resources that can compete with the Hedge funds. Commodities do not behave like stocks, you need to be able to model prices using multi variate models. Then there is jumps. You should be familiar with jump diffusion/step functions etc. To be able to model these you will need to use a factor model like the Pilipovic model. Even then it will only be an approximation.
Commodities are purchased as futures. Futures are derivatives and you will need to hedge them. A perfect hedge for a future is 1:1 in the spot. Since there is no arb here you will have to use options. To model the price of an option you will have to be a master of Black-Scholes option pricing model or a similar method like monte carlo simulation. Even if you figure all this out you will have to delta hedge. Delta hedging commodity options is very expensive, you will bleed money. Look up Hodges-Nuberger model for delta hedging options on derivatives.
I suggest a book by Daragana Pilipovic called "Energy Risk", buy it and read it. After that if you still feel you can take on hundreds of computers running parallel with teams of quants modelling prices and programs trading algarithimic models; then Good luck!!
Trade stocks as modelling stocks is comparitively easy. Stocks have drift (mu). If you are saturated with stocks look into options and Fixed income. Leave all these complicated stuff to the pros. You have better chance of hitting a jackpot in a casino than making money in trading commodities.

kumarpositive@gmail.com
11-16 01:09 AM
For me 24 days passed I've not received any letter from USCIS.
I have received an email yesterday saying my previous approved H-1B has been reopened on 11/15/2007, and they sent out a notification letter in post, I am very eager to know the status of others who has already met the 30 day period. Please provide some feedback on your case status.
I have received an email yesterday saying my previous approved H-1B has been reopened on 11/15/2007, and they sent out a notification letter in post, I am very eager to know the status of others who has already met the 30 day period. Please provide some feedback on your case status.
2011 DRAGON TATTOO FLASH

kshitijnt
05-12 04:54 PM
USA has a right to choose who they give green card to but not fool Indian people by swinging visa bulletin by 4 years every now and then. Not by discriminating. There should be some transparency to the process and law should be followed. If USA makes a law that Indians wont get GC in EB, I am happy to note. Can they remove their gloves?
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jnraajan
03-13 11:29 AM
WaldenPond is too nice to answer your question. Personally, I wouldn't consider it obligatory to answer a specific question by someone who cannot volunteer due to "Personal Reason", whatever that may mean. If you cannot volunteer, cannot participate in IV's action items, cannot contribute, then you are most welcome to use IV's portal to get answers to your questions or get other kind of information - but do not expect updates from anyone as your right!
IV is not a top-down organization and if you think that it is becoming like Immigration Portal then partially it is due to people like you who do not want to participate but just want 'updates'.
I completely disagree with your message here. You dont even know what the personal reason for not participating in a state chapter is. I, for one, am unable to join a state chapter, because , the nearest chapter is 400 miles and 2 states away. What good would it do to me to join something that I can never be part of. I wanted to start a state chapter here in my place, but I couldnt find any useful resources on how to do it. May be eb3_nepa has some reasons like it.
Like you said, IV is not a top-down organization, which means everyone is responsible for everyone. I dont see anything wrong with eb3_nepa's questions. He wanted to know what is going on. I am sure there are lots of people around here who has the same questions.
The Admin Fixes letter campaign was a good initiative. But, the target date got moved twice, and now I dont even know when the end date is.
May be IV should be a top-down organization. Any organization as big as IV would probably be better served with a Top Team. That team could probably elected by the community. I am confident, that most of our members wouldnt even mind spending a few extra bucks to pay a honarary amount to this team for their efforts and time. Then there will be more structure and accountability and action going on around here.
I came to know about IV pretty late. When I did learn about IV and joined IV, I was a very enthusiastic participant. Of late, I do believe IV is fading away. I dont see so many activities going on around here. Like eb3_nepa and few others said, IV is right now becoming just another Immigration portal. It is starting to lose its identity.
After doing all the hard work to gather a mass or like minded people, it will be shameful, if IV drifts away from its stated aim. So, may be it is time for every member, including core members like you to refect upon things and come up with ways to make this organization more transparent and more accessible for people like me.
Like Waldenpond said, it is probably not wise to list all the items going on in the portal. The work around to that would be, we can add another membership type which is more restrictive. This membership group will have only members whose identities have been verified. Once this group is created, IV can post all the happenings accessible to them. This will help people like me who are unable to be part of any state chapter to know what is happening at IV. Keep our sprits high.
Thank you
IV is not a top-down organization and if you think that it is becoming like Immigration Portal then partially it is due to people like you who do not want to participate but just want 'updates'.
I completely disagree with your message here. You dont even know what the personal reason for not participating in a state chapter is. I, for one, am unable to join a state chapter, because , the nearest chapter is 400 miles and 2 states away. What good would it do to me to join something that I can never be part of. I wanted to start a state chapter here in my place, but I couldnt find any useful resources on how to do it. May be eb3_nepa has some reasons like it.
Like you said, IV is not a top-down organization, which means everyone is responsible for everyone. I dont see anything wrong with eb3_nepa's questions. He wanted to know what is going on. I am sure there are lots of people around here who has the same questions.
The Admin Fixes letter campaign was a good initiative. But, the target date got moved twice, and now I dont even know when the end date is.
May be IV should be a top-down organization. Any organization as big as IV would probably be better served with a Top Team. That team could probably elected by the community. I am confident, that most of our members wouldnt even mind spending a few extra bucks to pay a honarary amount to this team for their efforts and time. Then there will be more structure and accountability and action going on around here.
I came to know about IV pretty late. When I did learn about IV and joined IV, I was a very enthusiastic participant. Of late, I do believe IV is fading away. I dont see so many activities going on around here. Like eb3_nepa and few others said, IV is right now becoming just another Immigration portal. It is starting to lose its identity.
After doing all the hard work to gather a mass or like minded people, it will be shameful, if IV drifts away from its stated aim. So, may be it is time for every member, including core members like you to refect upon things and come up with ways to make this organization more transparent and more accessible for people like me.
Like Waldenpond said, it is probably not wise to list all the items going on in the portal. The work around to that would be, we can add another membership type which is more restrictive. This membership group will have only members whose identities have been verified. Once this group is created, IV can post all the happenings accessible to them. This will help people like me who are unable to be part of any state chapter to know what is happening at IV. Keep our sprits high.
Thank you

bkarnik
09-17 02:02 PM
I guess republicans have devised this strategy to proposing different amendments as a delaying tactics so that none of these bills will be get approved.
Thanks,
you are absolutely correct...when you cannot win fighting fair, fight unfair...and to make matters worse, the next bill to be discussed is the "horse slaughter" bill...we are still not on the horizon...:confused:
Thanks,
you are absolutely correct...when you cannot win fighting fair, fight unfair...and to make matters worse, the next bill to be discussed is the "horse slaughter" bill...we are still not on the horizon...:confused:
more...

sgomathi
07-18 01:26 PM
My lawyer says mine was received on july 1st. I am yet to receive a reply from my lawyer. What will happen to the applications received by USCIS on sunday?
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GCBy3000
11-16 02:24 PM
He is not talking about Indians, rather he talks about H1b in general. Since India does not have equivalent social security system, US Govt and Indian Govt did not sign any contracts. Other countries like Canada / UK / AUS have mutual agreement between them and US for transferring the social security paid in US to be transferred to their home country if the alien returns to the home country.
Even Indian Govt (P.Chidambaram) I beleive is working with US Govt to get these SS paid by Indians who have returned back to India. Since the US system and Indian system does not allow with the current rules and regulations to transfer the amount, it is stalled. may be down the line even India would work with US to get these amounts back.
I heard something like this, but not sure: If you decide to move back to India, you can fill out a form and submit to INS/IRS which states that you will never come back to US for any reason. If you do it, they will pay your SS money back. I dont know anymore about this.
I agree. this kind of slander should be fought. Not only SS, but Medicare, Unemployment, and Federal state and city taxes.
Besides getting benefit from taxes, we cannot avail of any of the other benefits (SS, Medicare, Unemployment)
A lawsuit should shut them all up, and also show we are not weak or helpless.
We are not slaves, and unlike illegals do not have to beg for mercy. After suffering the entire immigration process, to hear lies like this should not be taken lying down
Even Indian Govt (P.Chidambaram) I beleive is working with US Govt to get these SS paid by Indians who have returned back to India. Since the US system and Indian system does not allow with the current rules and regulations to transfer the amount, it is stalled. may be down the line even India would work with US to get these amounts back.
I heard something like this, but not sure: If you decide to move back to India, you can fill out a form and submit to INS/IRS which states that you will never come back to US for any reason. If you do it, they will pay your SS money back. I dont know anymore about this.
I agree. this kind of slander should be fought. Not only SS, but Medicare, Unemployment, and Federal state and city taxes.
Besides getting benefit from taxes, we cannot avail of any of the other benefits (SS, Medicare, Unemployment)
A lawsuit should shut them all up, and also show we are not weak or helpless.
We are not slaves, and unlike illegals do not have to beg for mercy. After suffering the entire immigration process, to hear lies like this should not be taken lying down
more...

unchew
06-05 02:21 PM
I don't know why but that remembers me of Bethoven...
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tonyHK12
04-08 03:00 PM
/\/\/\
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Maverick1
11-14 05:45 PM
PM'ed you.. good luck with you efforts :)
Responded to your PM. Thanks for your wishes.
:):)
Responded to your PM. Thanks for your wishes.
:):)
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gg_ny
11-12 05:45 PM
Don't bet on this too much. Not being pessimistic, but in a democracy it is not just what is done but who does it and how it is done. Why should Republicans in the outgoing Congress vote again on a bill when their majority status is obsolete now? Do you think democrats will allow this outgoing congress to take the credit? they are politicians too, anything crappy in that bill is going to be the new Congress's (read Democrat's) burden. Already, a bombshell is waiting in the form of a hastily passed by the house_hastily signed by teh President bill: there is a fine print that removes oversight of how money is spent in Iraq (at least some of it). So, there may even be review of hastily passed, pre-election bills. anything more like this is going to give this congress very very bad name and the next congress a really bad headache.
CIR is a heavyweight bill. Heavyweight bills passed hastily leads to heavy indigestion. Look at the parliamentary history in US and India. We need lite weight riders and hitchhikers. Pushing on CIR is betting on a horse that is soon to be retired, with masked broken limbs..
Next move for EB should be THE decisive, concise, striking at the heart and quick. CIR is not the best bet for that.
Somthing early spring would be the ideal thing to expect before the political capital is lost by the new congress.
Was just watching Late Edition on CNN..with Arlen Specter and Chuck Schumer.. Specter did mention that he expects the CIR to be passed in the next few weeks in the lame duck session by the house.. infact he mentioned that the conservative outgoing speaker Hastert in favour of this at this time..so house might pass this now..with the senate already passed this..
Lets see who this goes ..
CIR is a heavyweight bill. Heavyweight bills passed hastily leads to heavy indigestion. Look at the parliamentary history in US and India. We need lite weight riders and hitchhikers. Pushing on CIR is betting on a horse that is soon to be retired, with masked broken limbs..
Next move for EB should be THE decisive, concise, striking at the heart and quick. CIR is not the best bet for that.
Somthing early spring would be the ideal thing to expect before the political capital is lost by the new congress.
Was just watching Late Edition on CNN..with Arlen Specter and Chuck Schumer.. Specter did mention that he expects the CIR to be passed in the next few weeks in the lame duck session by the house.. infact he mentioned that the conservative outgoing speaker Hastert in favour of this at this time..so house might pass this now..with the senate already passed this..
Lets see who this goes ..
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vdlrao
07-14 11:26 AM
50K + visas only for EB2 India for fiscal years 2008/2009.
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485Mbe4001
12-09 12:04 AM
:) happy holidays and good luck for the future. You are free now...
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pictures Where To Find Dragon Tattoos…

a1b2c3
05-08 08:24 PM
Feedbacks I have received for my post -
http://i39.tinypic.com/2jcvnh5.jpg
Don't worry about what feedback people gave you. People are jealous of you. Understandbly so, because of dates going back all the time. You deserve what you got and you got what you deserve (I mean the citizenship and not the lousy feedback no one should care abt). You have pretty good educational background too.
Now, that you had your sense of fulfillment and wallowed in it, can you share some info with us? :) I asked you a couple of questions, which I would love to get answers to.
http://i39.tinypic.com/2jcvnh5.jpg
Don't worry about what feedback people gave you. People are jealous of you. Understandbly so, because of dates going back all the time. You deserve what you got and you got what you deserve (I mean the citizenship and not the lousy feedback no one should care abt). You have pretty good educational background too.
Now, that you had your sense of fulfillment and wallowed in it, can you share some info with us? :) I asked you a couple of questions, which I would love to get answers to.
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apple
06-11 03:16 AM
Hi Gurus,
I need an advice from you.
The situation:
-- Involved in a collision few months back. As I had rear ended the vehicle, as per the investigation, it was found it was my fault(80% mine - 20% others)
-- Now after more than 18 months, I get a law suit for 3.25 million dollars(. This was served against ppl who were involved. Right now my I have my EAD and AP and maintaining H1 status.
So what are my options now?
1. Check with attorney and start defending..?
2. pack the bags and go back to my country ? If so, will there be any issues in coming back again, say after 3,4 years?
3. What about my GC?
Any help would be greatly appreciated and I guess it would be a biggest decision of my life ..
Thx,
PD is Nov 2006.
I need an advice from you.
The situation:
-- Involved in a collision few months back. As I had rear ended the vehicle, as per the investigation, it was found it was my fault(80% mine - 20% others)
-- Now after more than 18 months, I get a law suit for 3.25 million dollars(. This was served against ppl who were involved. Right now my I have my EAD and AP and maintaining H1 status.
So what are my options now?
1. Check with attorney and start defending..?
2. pack the bags and go back to my country ? If so, will there be any issues in coming back again, say after 3,4 years?
3. What about my GC?
Any help would be greatly appreciated and I guess it would be a biggest decision of my life ..
Thx,
PD is Nov 2006.
more...
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Ankou
06-09 04:18 AM
Thanks B3NKobe. I've been meaning to jump in on a battle here and this seemed like the perfect one to try (my first ever!). The image you picked was easy to work with... which was very nice.
I really wanted to do something with the big ugly grey button, but figured it might be considered more like a mod and not a skin. So I just left it.
I really wanted to do something with the big ugly grey button, but figured it might be considered more like a mod and not a skin. So I just left it.
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deletedUser459
06-16 11:11 AM
normally iPod skins don't change the appearence of your surroundings....
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bkarnik
09-17 02:35 PM
Another one. Please wait. Still 6020
King is losing it...he is referring to this bill as HR5882 instead of 6020...shows where he stands wrt immigration in general!!!!
King is losing it...he is referring to this bill as HR5882 instead of 6020...shows where he stands wrt immigration in general!!!!
purgan
08-14 05:29 PM
IV, please either change the title to "Plight of EB3 INDIA" or close this nonsensical thread.
srikondoji
07-11 01:11 PM
Whatever the hide and seek game be, we the actual filers will never suffer.
Adding to that there is an independent case already filed in the US courts, so we are on a stronger wicket.
Again, USCIS cannot keep our application in cold storage without extending us the benefits of pending I-485 application.
We will get the good news soon.
--sri
I hope I am totally wrong , but if USCIS has decided to put July 2nd applications in COLD STORAGE , then July 2nd filers are in for a long & bumpy ride.I hope we don't become the rolling stone in the game between AILA & USCIS.
What a shame? For hiding their own shortcomings , they are playing such horrible games with our future.
Peace.
Adding to that there is an independent case already filed in the US courts, so we are on a stronger wicket.
Again, USCIS cannot keep our application in cold storage without extending us the benefits of pending I-485 application.
We will get the good news soon.
--sri
I hope I am totally wrong , but if USCIS has decided to put July 2nd applications in COLD STORAGE , then July 2nd filers are in for a long & bumpy ride.I hope we don't become the rolling stone in the game between AILA & USCIS.
What a shame? For hiding their own shortcomings , they are playing such horrible games with our future.
Peace.
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